Chances of Prayer & Sacrifice Cards in Lord’s Trial

Hi everyone! In this article I present to you the results of my data collection on Prayer & Sacrifice Cards in Lord’s Trial. In total data for 81 Prayers was collected and 79 Sacrifices. That’s a nice sample size for us to get an idea about the chances for the different cards.

However, I did expect some people to help with the data collection and unfortunately only 1 person helped with the data, so the sample is not as big as I wanted to share with you. So thanks to Mambo for downloading my data collection template and emailing me his data. There was 1 more person who posted his data in a comment, but I found the data to be not reliable after comparing it with mine and Mambo’s collections, so I have not used that.

Ok, with that intro, let me show you first the charts and then the table of the results.

Prayer Card Chances

This chart shows the # of Prayers done on the Y-axis and I have plotted the chances on top of each bar. As I wrote already, in total 81 data points were collected for Prayer Cards and out of this:

• 59.3% opened only 1 card
• 27.2% opened 2 cards
• 11.1% opened 3 cards
• 2.5% opened 4
• and although during the data collection 5 cards did not open, it is actually possible, so here it says 0.0% based on the collected data, but there is actually some very small chance (probably 0.5%)

Sacrifice Card Chances

This chart shows the # of Sacrifices done on the Y-axis and I have plotted the chances on top of each bar. As I wrote already, in total 79 data points were collected for Sacrifice Cards and out of this:

• A very large 86.1% of the time only 1 card was opened
• 11.4% opened 2 cards
• 2.5% opened 3 cards
• 0.0% opened 4 (but supposedly it is possible)

Weekly Expectations

Based on the chances, from 1 week of activity in Lord’s Trial, one can expect:

• An average of 33 Cards from Prayers, which is made up of 12 x 1 card, 11 x 2 cards, 7 x 3 cards and 2 x 4 cards
• An average of 24 Cards from Sacrifices, which is made up of 18 x 1 card, 5 x 2 cards, 2 x 3 cards
• That makes a total of average 57 Cards for 1 week

That feels to me slightly more based on my experience (not much, maybe 3-5 cards more) , so perhaps the data collection got a bit more luck drops, but even with this data it confirms that players should not expect to reach 2 x 30 Cards to blitz 30 levels after beating them.

With these cards players can do 1 x 30 levels to beat one of the difficulties and then use the remaining cards to do 1 or 2 other difficulties.

This also confirms that my previously posted tips / strategy for optimizing your success in Lord’s Trial is very much accurate because the 2+ cards drop rates are indeed very low. The link to that article is again added below in the references section.

Tables of Data

I also present to you the tables with the collected data:

Prayers Data

Sacrifices Data

REFERENCE ARTICLES

Prayer & Sacrifice Data Collection for Analysis:

Prayer & Sacrifice Data Collection for Analysis

Lord’s Trial Success Tips & Tricks

Lord’s Trial Success Tips & Tricks