Home » Analysis & Tables » Master Summoner’s Kit Drop Rates with 20k Data

Master Summoner’s Kit Drop Rates with 20k Data

Posted by COSMOS on Jun 3, 2016 in Analysis & Tables, Card System, Chest/Box Drop Rates

Hey guys, in this article I share with you drop rates from the Master Summoner’s Kit based on a very nice 20k data points. So let’s jump into the analysis / study and look at the results.

Reminder: for complete information on cards check our Card System REFERENCE article.

Results Chart

95.2% of the time the chest / kit / box will drop a blue card.
4.8% of the time a purple card will drop.
Inside a rarity type / color type there does not seem to be any discrimination towards one or another card, they all have relatively similar drop rates among their respective rarity group, which is average 19% for blue cards and average 1% for purple cards.

First Activation

We can also try to estimate how long it might take to activate for the first time all purple cards.

Chances:

We can see that in average 1 out of 100 Master Summoner’s Kits will drop a purple card of a specific type and there are 5 purple card types that we must activate. If you have no purple cards activated, then your chance to get one is 5%. So, to activate your first purple card should take ~20 kits. But, once activated, the chance of getting your second NEW purple card goes to 4%, so it will take 25 more kits kits to get your second, 33 kits for third, 50 kits for second and 100 kits for the last one. That means based on rough odds, it will take 228 kits to find all purple cards.

Time Taken:

We also know that we get about 15 points (or shards) per explore with a new card given every 6 hours, which means that for 100 Master Summoner’s Kits we need 10000 points (or shards), which is 667 explorations or hunts or 167 days or 5.5 months. So for 228 kits, to unlock all purple cards will take ~381 days or just over 1 year to find them all (higher or lower, as usual, depending on luck).

Data Collection Table / drop rate numbers

Dropped Card	Quantity	% Chance
Dark Knight Damian Card	3,920	19.6%
Protector Soulshield Card	3,847	19.2%
Tauren Warrior Karda Card	3,777	18.9%
Undead General Orin One-Eye Card	3,754	18.8%
White Knight Troy Card	3,748	18.7%
Undead Dragon King Jarlor Card	210	1.1%
Mythic Armor Wargod Card	193	1.0%
Shining Angel Sauriel Card	188	0.9%
Fallen Pandemonium Card	186	0.9%
Tauren Elder Karnatog Card	175	0.9%
TOTAL	19,998	100.0%

Data collection image

Master Summoner’s Kit item image

Matched Links from DolyGames Sites / Google

NOTE:

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12 Comments

Croxes / June 3, 2016

Not “one in every 100 will drop a purple card”, its 5 in every 100.

Reply
- DolyGames Team / June 3, 2016
  
  Hi, that’s not what I meant, but I see that the way I wrote was not clear so I changed to: “…We can see that in average 1 out of 100 Master Summoner’s Kits will drop a purple card that you might need out of the 5 purple card types, so it might take…”
  
  Thanks for helping improve clarity,
  Cosmos
  
  Reply
the besserwisser / June 3, 2016

the calculation is wrong
you drop 5 purple cards out of 100 chests
each of the purple card has the same drop chance
so in average you drop 5 diffrent purple cards out of 100 chests, so we dont have to opfen 500 chests, only 100

500 chests would be 25 purple cards in average

Reply
- DolyGames Team / June 4, 2016
  
  I think I disagree, but I am not 100% sure, maybe more people can help out: even though you drop 5 purple cards out of 100, these are 5 random cards while the paragraph there is talking about the chance of finding a specific purple card that a player might wish for that is not yet activated. The chance of that specific card from 100 cards is 1 out of 100.
  And so as Step 1 every time you open 100 chests you get 1 purple card and then, Step 2, from that drop you have 1/5 or 20% chance of getting the card you want, which means we must multiple the 100 by 5 to bring this to 100% giving the “around 500” that I wrote.
  – Cosmos
  
  Reply
  - the besserwisser / June 4, 2016
    
    each of the 5 cards have a 20% drop chance while you get a purple card… in 100 cheasts you get 5 purple cards…
    in 500 chests you get 25 purple cards…
    
    see it like a dice… the dice has 100 sides. 95 of the sides have blue sides and 5 sides have a purple side. in average you have to roll the dice 100 times to see all sides of the dice and so to see all of the purple sides
    
    or easier
    
    think about a 6 side dice. you wanne roll a 4 5 or 6
    when you roll it 6 times in average you get each number 1 times
    
    its easy math
  - the besserwisser / June 4, 2016
    
    or lets make it more easier
    each purple card has a drop chance of 1%
    1% means 1 out of 100
  - DolyGames Team / June 4, 2016
    
    Oki dok, I guess I over-complicated things and got confused, thanks.
    I changed the paragraph and added estimation based on shard collection as well. Although I haven’t slept this night I hope I did it correctly and if not let me know 🙂
    Cheers,
    Cosmos
  - the besserwisser / June 4, 2016
    
    its more confusing than before^^
    why not just write “in average we need 100 chests to get all 5 purple cardsm because they all have a drop chance of 1%”
Fealindale / June 3, 2016

That’s incredible that you saved up that many kits! Congrats for that.

Reply
- DolyGames Team / June 4, 2016
  
  🙂
  
  Reply
Pickle / June 5, 2016

Based on odds, if you have no purple cards activated, then your chance to get one is 5%. So, to activate your first purple card should take ~20 kits. But, once activated, the chance of getting your second NEW purple card goes to 4%, so it will take 25 more kits kits to get your second, 33 kits for third, 50 kits for second and 100 kits for the last one.
That means based on rough odds, it will take 228 kits to find all cards. Using your 167 days to find 100 kits, means to unlock all cards will take ~381 days or just over 1 year to find them all.

Reply
- DolyGames Team / June 5, 2016
  
  Thank you, updated the article.
  
  Reply